CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b189535e671a799a793b5be7e04fe5448a8cea5afd98da84e232328f579336f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof NIP, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 8,337$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.67 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked NIP | 40c | 8,148$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.08 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lynn Vision | 59c | 1,251$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.89 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed NIP | 35c | 1,100$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 43c | 958.32$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.08 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Lynn Vision | 59c | 786.17$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NIP | 41c | 769.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.45 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 606.27$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed NIP | 46c | 433.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NIP | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 395.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed NIP | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed NIP | 44c | 317.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 286.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 270.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked NIP | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked NIP | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked NIP | 41c | 247.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed NIP | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed NIP | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed NIP | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 166.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 142.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed NIP | 43c | 130.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 124.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 508 | 46.9%238 W · 270 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed NIP | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed NIP | 28c | 87.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 80.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 380 | 54.5%207 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 77.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NIP | 43c | 70.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed NIP | 45c | 66.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lynn Vision | 71c | 62.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 498 | 56.6%282 W · 216 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 46.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lynn Vision | 53c | 44.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed NIP | 43c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Lynn Vision | 57c | 32.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed NIP | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Lynn Vision | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Lynn Vision | 55c | 19.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Lynn Vision | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.