TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof Lynn Vision, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP59c34,074$20,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,870.7736753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Lynn Vision46c18,285$8,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,478.633343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed NIP66c15,156$10,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,088.5823839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision45c11,762$5,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,342.054,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Lynn Vision37c10,804$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.062,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Lynn Vision36c10,565$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1588…eed3backed Lynn Vision34c8,856$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.041450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lynn Vision37c6,579$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.133,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Lynn Vision1c5,800$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NIP66c3,765$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.346349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Lynn Vision44c3,193$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.041,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lynn Vision30c3,133$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.731,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Lynn Vision34c3,041$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.962934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NIP67c2,972$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked NIP48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3007454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed NIP48c2,231$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Lynn Vision45c2,185$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.3387847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lynn Vision32c2,152$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.876,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed NIP67c2,024$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.887166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked NIP66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68025855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP50c2,000$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0011,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed NIP66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51045859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed NIP64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5429948.8%146 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Lynn Vision35c1,354$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47438835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Lynn Vision38c1,327$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Lynn Vision37c1,206$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2261834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Lynn Vision35c1,100$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38255232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lynn Vision31c1,046$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.072,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lynn Vision31c1,045$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.532,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked Lynn Vision34c1,017$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.162152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Lynn Vision33c1,003$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8832042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed NIP43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57014847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked NIP66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34022266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Lynn Vision1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked NIP52c975.45$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6628657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Lynn Vision41c902.78$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.479533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Lynn Vision33c865$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1240140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Lynn Vision37c803.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed NIP72c793.35$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.535841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed NIP64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2511061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Lynn Vision53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.53036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP65c750$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.51,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision28c730.24$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.415,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lynn Vision37c724.83$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.855,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed NIP56c719.66$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4410344.7%46 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked Lynn Vision42c716.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lynn Vision33c619.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.61,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Lynn Vision58c612.68$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP77c612.52$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.134,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Lynn Vision30c600$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.725,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed NIP54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27632346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Lynn Vision38c594.88$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.241,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Lynn Vision40c575$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Lynn Vision9c563.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9712027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP73c556.37$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2260953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Lynn Vision45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NIP59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynn Vision34c499.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed NIP66c497.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0623861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Lynn Vision35c482.86$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Lynn Vision33c444.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6725749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a4…cde3backed Lynn Vision26c411.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.223240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NIP69c406.27$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2750846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed NIP50c403.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8129052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Lynn Vision7c377.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6838131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd66…b02abacked NIP60c375$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Lynn Vision32c330.91$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Lynn Vision37c327.76$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2762350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lynn Vision36c322.95$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.91,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Lynn Vision47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed NIP68c309.12$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1220059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked NIP67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.515054%27 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed NIP67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5138950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed NIP68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1227657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Lynn Vision24c290.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.961,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed NIP68c271.26$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.814048.6%68 W · 72 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Lynn Vision33c270.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4662938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Lynn Vision30c250.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.426232.3%20 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Lynn Vision34c249.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed NIP66c249.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9932136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Lynn Vision35c226.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3820744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed NIP44c225.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Lynn Vision34c212.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.25438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Lynn Vision34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Lynn Vision7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f0…7b5bbacked NIP64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked NIP50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028443.7%124 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Lynn Vision15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked NIP69c186.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.838350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed NIP61c185$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0333949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed NIP53c178.86$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.648348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Lynn Vision10c175$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1737441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Lynn Vision33c165.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8329934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…8e98backed Lynn Vision7c165.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f4…c415backed NIP62c159.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Lynn Vision45c155.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1955343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…8279backed Lynn Vision26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Lynn Vision43c151.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.