TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6f4…c415

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$16.6
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Pedro Martinezbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$12.57
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Tommaso Compagnuccibacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$36.49
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Guiomar Maristany vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Guiomar Maristany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.09
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Viktoria Hruncakovabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.31
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$69.76
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Julia Rierabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$12.62
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.05
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.93
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardybacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$15.05
Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.97
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zhengbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Istanbul: Mili Poljicak vs Maxim Mrvabacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$9.47
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.34
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$79.82
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$30.04
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.62
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.51
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$14.07
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.19
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.9
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.9
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$18.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.