TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shanghai Sharksof Beijing Ducks, Shanghai Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Ducks14c21,139$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.6613046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Beijing Ducks17c12,790$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.436116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Shanghai Sharks73c11,104$8,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.554562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Beijing Ducks30c7,229$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.641637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Beijing Ducks41c5,149$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shanghai Sharks80c4,177$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9513545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Beijing Ducks39c3,361$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Shanghai Sharks61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Shanghai Sharks51c2,829$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.2231651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Beijing Ducks23c2,773$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Beijing Ducks65c2,622$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed Shanghai Sharks60c2,613$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Beijing Ducks39c2,394$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shanghai Sharks73c2,217$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.34443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Beijing Ducks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beijing Ducks38c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9924430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Shanghai Sharks59c1,710$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.265152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanghai Sharks36c1,687$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.643543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Shanghai Sharks62c1,618$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.031662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Shanghai Sharks67c1,612$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ddf0backed Shanghai Sharks61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Shanghai Sharks62c1,378$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Beijing Ducks6c1,335$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.383345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5df…be66backed Shanghai Sharks61c1,325$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Shanghai Sharks60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…d511backed Beijing Ducks40c1,249$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Shanghai Sharks46c1,164$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Shanghai Sharks59c1,129$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.695248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Beijing Ducks12c1,092$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Beijing Ducks4c1,080$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked Beijing Ducks52c1,080$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Beijing Ducks16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Shanghai Sharks63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.993855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…7091backed Shanghai Sharks61c994$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c1…92adbacked Shanghai Sharks70c962.59$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Shanghai Sharks68c957.75$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.329551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Shanghai Sharks61c921.57$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.212157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Sharks57c886.28$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9934344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Shanghai Sharks70c884.04$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.915648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Shanghai Sharks36c851.83$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.693145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Shanghai Sharks64c824.21$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.891250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7448…7ab1backed Beijing Ducks24c821.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Beijing Ducks39c812.9$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.031844.4%8 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Shanghai Sharks61c749$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.118453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc229…dbeabacked Shanghai Sharks15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.671030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Shanghai Sharks46c662.16$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.692142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Shanghai Sharks61c655.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.737138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Beijing Ducks52c620.12$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Shanghai Sharks60c603$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.446162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Sharks58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.055844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de5…8524backed Shanghai Sharks50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97b…87dcbacked Shanghai Sharks65c600$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Shanghai Sharks60c593$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2361675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Beijing Ducks49c590.48$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…4b50backed Shanghai Sharks56c573.69$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Beijing Ducks39c567.46$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Shanghai Sharks66c558$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.747462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Beijing Ducks40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803a…1856backed Beijing Ducks42c549.8$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-78.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Beijing Ducks51c547.97$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.586747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Beijing Ducks5c546.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.342544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Beijing Ducks34c500.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.393063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Shanghai Sharks60c500.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Beijing Ducks49c499.92$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.962045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Beijing Ducks50c490.65$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb6…764cbacked Beijing Ducks43c489$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Beijing Ducks31c469.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.723823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6f4…c415backed Beijing Ducks22c452.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Shanghai Sharks61c446.97$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb6…8e13backed Shanghai Sharks41c401.2$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Shanghai Sharks60c401.15$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.952846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Shanghai Sharks70c394.85$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.341553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Shanghai Sharks35c392.72$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.525271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Shanghai Sharks60c367$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Shanghai Sharks40c356.2$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.721838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Shanghai Sharks58c355.32$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.894551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceca…4800backed Shanghai Sharks61c311.13$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Shanghai Sharks15c307.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.983737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Shanghai Sharks60c302.31$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.193060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Shanghai Sharks48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Beijing Ducks49c286.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Beijing Ducks37c282.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Ducks37c280.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2826935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75c…b6d3backed Shanghai Sharks78c273.59$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Beijing Ducks38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Shanghai Sharks61c262.62$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.422227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shanghai Sharks39c259.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.044443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Beijing Ducks40c252.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.281353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Beijing Ducks40c251.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd697…6cd3backed Beijing Ducks34c231.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Beijing Ducks40c222$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Shanghai Sharks42c216$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.566061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shanghai Sharks62c212.88$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.364344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Shanghai Sharks62c211.72$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Beijing Ducks39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Shanghai Sharks25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Shanghai Sharks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c7…abc5backed Shanghai Sharks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Shanghai Sharks25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Shanghai Sharks56c199.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.