TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c24,200$11,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,668.8264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over48c16,635$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,984.825848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c13,087$6,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,543.6332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c10,444$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.5155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c7,726$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c5,615$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under50c5,112$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.312166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c5,000$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9444252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under52c3,957$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.5726149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.584042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c3,334$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c2,896$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.21,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c2,394$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.2132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c2,314$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under52c2,270$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.65358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under54c2,241$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.744951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c2,065$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.6665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c2,019$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.3389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over47c1,931$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c1,924$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.661,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.032259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7938946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7921943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under69c1,454$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1924159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Over46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over47c1,368$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.4443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,354$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,257$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c1,233$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under50c1,208$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.121225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over16c1,185$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Over46c1,173$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.427048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over14c1,041$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c999.96$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.988348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over47c999.46$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5223742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…7854backed Under53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c857$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.791,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c830.88$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over48c709.98$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under51c699.35$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over47c593.78$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0668944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over47c586.77$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7814148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c580.33$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3620154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under51c561.22$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over50c484.01$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0119937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c480.64$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over23c480$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over13c456.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.191,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under54c456.55$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.512147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c437.82$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17418850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c394$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.941,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21fb…fd64backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over41c388.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.620651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3614443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c371.25$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.481,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c357.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over47c350.3$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under51c346.1$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5914854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c334.37$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Over47c332.92$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under51c316.04$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.866145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under54c314.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8117848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Under53c304.29$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.028155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Under52c284$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.323256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under47c272.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5511864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under53c244.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1513352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…a54dbacked Over49c222.45$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under45c218.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.446038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbee6…dbe9backed Over49c218.37$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4a…8663backed Over49c216.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Under52c215.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.385550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c212.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Under52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.325756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Over11c208.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.921464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf182…4d61backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under51c201.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9622351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Under50c196.58$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.298646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.