NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd32e24038b0dd379077b43895928556522e28b0d627e0adb43a46e7e1f7b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 1,347$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.67 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.19 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,056$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 786.93$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 681.42$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.17 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 49c | 592.44$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.05 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 54c | 490$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Over | 52c | 371.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 48c | 353$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 258.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 56c | 178.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 52c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 54c | 135.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 127.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 48c | 107.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 50c | 59.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 59.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Under | 42c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 47c | 53.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Over | 61c | 52.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Under | 48c | 41.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…7acdbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Over | 51c | 39.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 29.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 47c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…6043backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…028ebacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.