TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x804f…13abbacked Yes42c161.21$67 inLost-$67.14942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No57c142.72$82 inWon+$60.7433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No59c112.19$66 inWon+$4685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…50a5backed No60c107.38$64 inWon+$42.951668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No47c57.95$27 inWon+$30.8953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4a…cf21backed Yes40c56.43$23 inLost-$22.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Yes40c51.11$20 inLost-$20.44825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97c…b49abacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes42c28.57$12 inLost-$125048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d3…0860backed No64c22.95$15 inWon+$8.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c20$12 inWon+$833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No71c17$12 inWon+$4.9342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.