NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc1bd7d02e1ce11646028366cd965bb665ddfea116aaef1ea03bc684dc9b45b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Over | 46c | 4,817$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 1c | 3,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 36c | 3,000$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 65c | 2,769$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.23 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 37c | 2,734$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 2,611$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.34 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 2,228$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.66 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 66c | 1,882$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.09 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 34c | 1,514$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 60c | 1,478$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.28 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 36c | 1,399$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 949.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 50c | 600.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 592.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 36c | 400.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 65c | 229.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 46c | 212.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 34c | 176.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 65c | 154.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…fd1cbacked Under | 61c | 141.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 65c | 115.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 64c | 100.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…4af7backed Under | 66c | 88.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 68c | 87.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 37c | 81.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 35c | 71.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…91b9backed Over | 35c | 65.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 65c | 50.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…a285backed Under | 65c | 46.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 32c | 45.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 37c | 34.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 65c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 36c | 28.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 26.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 67c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…1bb2backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 64c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.