TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks62c5,058$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.5920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers38c4,500$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Cavaliers41c2,517$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.921936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks59c2,399$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.572,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Knicks61c1,790$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6981080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers37c1,140$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Cavaliers39c657.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9916147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers39c627$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.771,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Cavaliers36c552.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.285058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ed…687ebacked Cavaliers43c548.69$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Knicks63c374.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.053756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Knicks60c270.32$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8617247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers38c261$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Cavaliers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a80…b90abacked Cavaliers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Knicks59c252.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.799552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Cavaliers40c228.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.725646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Knicks64c185.52$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.793026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a7…07aebacked Cavaliers40c178.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.483036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Knicks57c177.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Cavaliers40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers39c173.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers38c164$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers40c163.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe7…68f3backed Knicks63c158.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.22853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Knicks60c151$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.463351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Knicks62c141.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9430055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33b…2372backed Cavaliers39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Cavaliers49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.66836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Knicks64c117.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.293174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad1a…283ebacked Knicks61c113.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Knicks61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Knicks54c99.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.757356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks60c96.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Knicks61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.975736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Knicks61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Knicks50c79.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Cavaliers40c62.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9836247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Knicks68c60.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.572653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Knicks75c60.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Cavaliers39c58.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238050%40 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Cavaliers51c56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.565759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Cavaliers46c55.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Cavaliers39c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks60c54.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Knicks64c50.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+103.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Cavaliers62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3115248%73 W · 79 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe465…7f38backed Cavaliers38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Knicks51c49.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Knicks63c48.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9516867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Knicks51c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4153134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Knicks64c47.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2718853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Knicks59c47.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4737652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1c…cb5dbacked Cavaliers36c42.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Cavaliers47c42.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.748843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Cavaliers61c40.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.486947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe79…296fbacked Knicks56c39.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Knicks63c38.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Cavaliers55c36.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Cavaliers57c34.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.745251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Cavaliers52c34.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8114860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers36c33.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Knicks61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.795556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Knicks54c31.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.569941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Knicks54c30.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0129243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Knicks63c28.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6210746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Cavaliers41c28.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Knicks61c25.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9922756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Cavaliers57c24.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7921046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Knicks67c23.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8633159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Knicks60c20.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.138653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Knicks55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0715044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked Knicks55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Knicks60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.