NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde3c10a2530704235b5270da0feffdfdd2c44b19db570bf0a6e0fbd20656df5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 32c | 14,193$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.65 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 67c | 6,547$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.97 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 69c | 4,916$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 67c | 1,711$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.07 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 31c | 1,628$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 75c | 1,596$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,564$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Under | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.14 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,187$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 31c | 1,003$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Under | 72c | 745.5$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 33c | 614.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 67c | 418.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Over | 11c | 339.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Over | 31c | 323.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 26c | 275$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over | 30c | 164.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 71c | 152.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 149$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…6d41backed Over | 30c | 146.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 28c | 141.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 135$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 28c | 123.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 71c | 120.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 31c | 110.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Under | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 30c | 94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 64c | 87.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Over | 30c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 75c | 83.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7970…eccabacked Over | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 39c | 64.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…91b9backed Over | 27c | 63.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 60.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 71c | 59.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 70c | 55.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 63c | 53.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 24c | 41.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…2edabacked Over | 42c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…6b52backed Over | 30c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Under | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 71c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…daf3backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 66c | 25.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…80cdbacked Under | 74c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…19fabacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 71c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 73c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd911…bb52backed Under | 73c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.