TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81f…6b75backed No51c346$175 inLost-$175.4744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed No57c263.6$150 inLost-$1504949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Yes51c247.06$126 inWon+$121.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes43c196.6$85 inWon+$112.0642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes49c121.33$59 inWon+$61.925657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd6…4e4dbacked Yes52c119.91$62 inWon+$57.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No49c117.86$58 inLost-$57.7753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No49c116.62$57 inLost-$56.6533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…acfabacked Yes50c100$50 inWon+$501080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No49c100$49 inLost-$4985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked No52c96.35$50 inLost-$502050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked No51c88.24$45 inLost-$451050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No53c79.98$42 inLost-$42.3911852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes50c70$35 inWon+$352231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No48c64.29$31 inLost-$30.8619352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac6…94d6backed Yes47c52.06$24 inWon+$27.591060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Yes47c50$24 inWon+$26.59451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes43c42$18 inWon+$23.9430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes50c40$20 inWon+$204537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked No55c22.18$12 inLost-$12.222756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe355…a1f9backed Yes48c20.94$10 inWon+$10.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.