TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes53c130$69 inWon+$61.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes50c120.52$60 inWon+$60.3684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No47c105.66$50 inLost-$49.6685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a80…b90abacked No50c100$50 inLost-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No47c86.28$41 inLost-$40.5533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes50c80$40 inWon+$4015351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No47c74.07$35 inLost-$35.0743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked Yes52c50$26 inWon+$241752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+120.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No47c40.08$19 inLost-$18.841,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon+$2013764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed No50c40$20 inLost-$203652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.74825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed No50c36$18 inLost-$187251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5132…61a7backed Yes54c24.07$13 inWon+$11.075761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes52c23.02$12 inWon+$11.0227539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes53c21.21$11 inWon+$9.9722756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.