TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c10,006$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over43c8,119$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.6432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c7,527$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.181,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under37c5,451$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.0929243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over65c4,708$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.464264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over63c3,948$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.4528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c3,478$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.361,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under32c3,164$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.242,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under40c3,126$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.651,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c2,995$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under37c2,990$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c2,722$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Under36c2,397$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over41c2,086$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.061,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.846055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over64c1,719$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under69c1,669$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c1,597$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under36c1,377$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.46445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c1,365$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…6ba5backed Under55c1,240$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5581346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under55c1,198$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.133557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over7c1,183$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under35c1,095$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.715657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c1,055$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65033749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Under52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5423652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over52c930.43$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c831.05$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under37c773.63$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over36c697.22$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over52c693.84$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over51c590.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over52c569.08$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over52c568.63$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under57c482.61$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over59c465.09$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c463.64$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.11,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over46c436.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.973265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over20c429.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under34c415$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under70c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under36c388.57$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under39c362.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.551838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under38c330.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.214738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under71c320.66$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under36c317.63$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c300.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Under38c292.18$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under40c270.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.571,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under36c265.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Under38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.32948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c263.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over79c260.58$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20513759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under38c257.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8926233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over51c254.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over63c248.48$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under24c235.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under24c235.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2321046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under24c234.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6920247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under34c219.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.622842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under45c218.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a9…565cbacked Over64c214.84$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under24c211.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8721849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over65c200.12$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over61c200$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3129040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under38c190$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.81747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under57c190$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c184.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over20c182.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1711946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under36c182.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.621283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under43c180.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.536636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Under29c168.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.932744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…c679backed Over15c161.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Over63c159.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4178…c0d2backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c156.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.692,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…49e4backed Over63c154.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over63c152$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over44c147.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over68c147.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020441.7%85 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under46c146.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.394037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c133.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Under24c127.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.852035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over64c125.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under35c122.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.74468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under41c115.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4311446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c111.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over45c110.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6312254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over61c109.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under36c105.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under32c102.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.