TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,268 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75b6…c16fbacked Cavaliers25c7,397$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a9…7b35backed Knicks75c4,397$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.325100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers26c3,201$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.5864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabc2…fd47backed Knicks75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Knicks73c2,294$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.391050%5 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers3c2,039$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.641,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Cavaliers29c1,296$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.885743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers27c1,238$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks74c1,200$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1518445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers10c883.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Knicks76c793.76$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.764854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Knicks78c721.32$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6911452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks74c689.1$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Knicks73c683.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2127549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers9c668.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.641,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Cavaliers11c562.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers26c548.27$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Knicks77c505.09$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1321164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers27c460$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks74c460$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.28348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Cavaliers26c443.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.68439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5891…4912backed Knicks78c433.78$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.431070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Cavaliers37c390.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14626233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Cavaliers35c389.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7122844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Cavaliers26c327.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Knicks75c304.91$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.232475%18 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Knicks66c302.02$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks73c299.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Cavaliers27c298.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb73b…91b9backed Cavaliers24c272.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Cavaliers26c266.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7329449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers26c260.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Cavaliers11c235.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94719.1%9 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ae…320fbacked Knicks69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Cavaliers25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cavaliers24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Cavaliers27c186.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.164751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Cavaliers27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010337.9%39 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Cavaliers27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Knicks73c158.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.913644.1%60 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers25c150.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Cavaliers15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Knicks75c136.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks71c114$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cavaliers26c110.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers24c101$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Cavaliers25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513539.3%53 W · 82 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Cavaliers29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Knicks73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Cavaliers28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288053.8%43 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Cavaliers40c92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810650%53 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks74c85.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Cavaliers26c84.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.025671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Cavaliers23c77.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Cavaliers26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Cavaliers25c75.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd3…5d68backed Cavaliers32c56.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Cavaliers28c52.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0444…55a5backed Knicks76c52.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+138.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Cavaliers25c51.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Cavaliers24c41.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2511930.3%36 W · 83 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Cavaliers26c41.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8720240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks72c41.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Cavaliers25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108355.4%46 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Knicks75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102669.2%18 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0850…5ec6backed Cavaliers25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Knicks77c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.939655.2%53 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks74c37.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f7…d7debacked Knicks63c31.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks74c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Knicks78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6421574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Knicks74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Knicks76c23.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.518247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Knicks75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Knicks75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Knicks78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2310656.6%60 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked Knicks76c16.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Knicks75c15.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.817353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.