TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c12,561$6,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,926.7264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under42c10,793$4,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.1855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Under52c4,350$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.115459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over59c3,729$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c3,555$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over60c3,329$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5f…1070backed Over57c3,152$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…2640backed Under45c2,007$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.011250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c1,822$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.9362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c1,176$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.881,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c999.99$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9525651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over43c999.24$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.676055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c951.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.331,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over59c857.63$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50613759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over6c826.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under42c823.85$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.7914148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over48c739.17$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.818650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over67c736.27$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.34560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c699.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Under45c692.58$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.928648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c687.41$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c622.49$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c561.03$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.571,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over56c534.5$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.656659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over49c410.82$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.32744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under42c369.07$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Over56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.610757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Under51c352.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.942860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under57c350.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e4f…2510backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over48c237.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad1a…283ebacked Under53c208.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.961450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff3…6d83backed Over59c207.45$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.982055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11818735.8%67 W · 120 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over51c197$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4710843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c195.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c182.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Over56c182.4$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.144946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4178…c0d2backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020441.7%85 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Over57c175.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8613248.5%64 W · 68 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under41c169.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under37c166.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7220247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over55c141.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Over58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under44c114.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3310743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6410746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.648843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over48c103.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf9…7a19backed Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over55c100.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Under45c96.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over38c96.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.669941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd662…aeb5backed Over56c92.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.882576%19 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under43c91.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.421,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339c…9559backed Over55c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bb2…8948backed Over55c89.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb2…4d80backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over57c87.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6412254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Under44c86.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6911541.7%48 W · 67 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under45c82.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4615759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c79.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0081…dc8bbacked Over57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over59c72.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under51c70.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under45c68.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5110941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over43c65.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under42c52.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.386344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c51.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Over59c50.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a8…82e1backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6210257.8%59 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31f6…1b20backed Over59c45.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Under43c45.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.092138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd033…a7c1backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over57c43.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.644468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under43c42.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0521849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2237253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.