TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Knicks40c17,642$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,585.13240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks41c12,195$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.129725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks51c10,994$5,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,367.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers59c10,459$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,170.7726753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers59c9,172$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers59c8,778$5,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,221.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers49c7,135$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers26c5,635$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers43c5,469$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.62,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks42c5,083$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.6864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Knicks78c4,999$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.8914766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Cavaliers61c4,000$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.34946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Cavaliers47c4,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8602441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks50c3,324$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Cavaliers61c3,193$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9603531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks75c2,812$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks51c2,338$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.541,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7335650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers38c1,779$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks53c1,571$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.2952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Cavaliers56c1,548$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8604841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks62c1,360$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Knicks40c1,241$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.46per pick32cpaid+156.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers49c1,156$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Knicks73c1,096$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.331190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks41c1,056$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.041,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers40c1,010$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cavaliers56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers60c971.72$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Cavaliers52c963.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Cavaliers31c914.58$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3912434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Cavaliers61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks56c703.14$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers50c655.17$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Cavaliers60c635$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814161%25 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers48c610.65$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29462948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Cavaliers61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3667549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Cavaliers59c584.68$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9618543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks54c558.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers31c527$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Cavaliers59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Cavaliers55c499.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.998645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Knicks56c498.68$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5211843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers48c492.24$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Cavaliers61c489.39$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5329554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks49c488.25$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.012,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers42c486.11$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.781,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers25c418.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Cavaliers24c415$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Knicks34c410$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.69558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Cavaliers59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23613858%80 W · 58 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Cavaliers61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks39c399.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Cavaliers51c394.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks39c385$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks61c378.32$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Knicks38c360$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks42c349.97$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.188348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Cavaliers58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c02…d4b7backed Cavaliers58c339.72$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.042744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Cavaliers26c312.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9810225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Cavaliers41c288$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Knicks36c280.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.647759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cavaliers61c270.55$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1955…5ffebacked Knicks37c262.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Cavaliers61c262.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks39c260.87$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Cavaliers51c260$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.68052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks40c239.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks41c239$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.011,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Cavaliers55c226.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9838242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Cavaliers61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Cavaliers25c192$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks60c181.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Cavaliers64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1276…1ebabacked Cavaliers61c153.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks51c153$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.971,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ae…320fbacked Cavaliers46c152$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.921250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Cavaliers38c142$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks40c140.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4215759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks39c126.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.321,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d59…6441backed Knicks39c121.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.041850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Knicks57c120.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0121046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers36c119.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Knicks42c118.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7317247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Knicks54c105.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4611946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Cavaliers38c104$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Cavaliers24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Cavaliers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Knicks41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5910148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks56c94.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks60c93.17$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers20c90.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Cavaliers61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Cavaliers29c81.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8617331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.