TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over43c3,860$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.4520155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Under56c3,028$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Under61c3,020$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.036352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over1c2,100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over42c1,568$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5020…36fcbacked Over41c1,330$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c1,316$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under79c1,261$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over41c1,207$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Over46c1,085$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003129%9 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under55c1,078$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.711850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over9c1,006$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over39c627.17$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over51c623.53$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31862948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c602.02$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.831,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under56c530$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.24443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.476662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Under60c455.35$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c432.28$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.591,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c400.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under60c400$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over57c351.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c262$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over12c261.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c239.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c225.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under49c203.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over51c193.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.846038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Under56c192$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.481952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over39c191$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under58c181.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f190backed Under56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.712231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under58c150$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over10c134.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over16c133.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9339552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under70c121.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1631953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over40c99.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c87.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.581,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Under60c86.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5517236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under59c72.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over42c70.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6440548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over42c68.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6415759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x098a…3577backed Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Under55c63.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.788646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…8948backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.727948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c51.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Under59c50.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.532050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e88…697dbacked Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216633.3%22 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Under57c45.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.512445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over42c44.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Under61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.984557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Under59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.411851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c7…6621backed Over46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-62.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c37.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under59c36.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9430448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under57c28.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under61c27.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8714349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked Under55c26.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf6…8b41backed Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…c3cebacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Under57c23.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.953050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under78c21.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8421046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc687…e856backed Under57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.057152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Under55c19.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under60c19.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7420247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Under59c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.445042%21 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.