TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Over52c10,338$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.7815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c7,462$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under48c6,204$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.173641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c5,985$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.4518445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under48c5,625$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92518349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c5,161$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.8955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Over52c4,402$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over18c4,206$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under47c3,620$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over57c3,155$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over44c3,010$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.9469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Under56c2,882$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26812741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c2,839$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.0337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Under48c1,836$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.538648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c1,789$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.1164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over58c1,735$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under48c1,586$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.8810248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over50c1,475$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c1,348$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over20c1,344$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under73c1,335$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3327746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,269$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.811,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over52c1,233$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.0843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c1,212$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under71c1,169$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over41c1,165$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over42c1,138$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over5c1,134$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under54c1,109$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.959655.2%53 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over55c1,043$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over18c1,013$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under47c1,006$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.295940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under44c953.43$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over52c929.62$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.43275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under48c899.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46868944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5f…1070backed Over56c888.74$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under46c839.98$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2617247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac15…dd90backed Under44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.452254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under48c774$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c771.53$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under41c739.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.656038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over53c710$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.312536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over32c691.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under46c654$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.167751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over53c632.84$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c551.62$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over21c518$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.581,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under76c502.32$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c491$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over53c477.36$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e90…a79ebacked Over65c472.29$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.993174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c462.9$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c450.01$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c449.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.651,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.436543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0382…7aafbacked Under66c409.09$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.091560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Under50c396$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0828…d60abacked Over36c388.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.781723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+42.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over51c380.12$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.861,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over52c375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19522349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over53c373.58$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1984465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Over53c366$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.983218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c364.11$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c363$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under37c333.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Over53c330.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.423756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under48c324.76$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15625559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over20c261.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0521953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over19c233.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.464463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over12c227.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.752958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under42c209.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.762,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c201$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c196.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under42c190.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.484540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8319…96f4backed Over53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over49c187.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.119644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over20c184.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over57c182.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1927553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c171.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.921,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under45c163.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2310746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under45c159.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0510743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under46c153$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.622842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c145$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Over53c138.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3217944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.