TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23c8…f293backed Under30c16,429$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,500.6128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under37c9,759$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,175.1520155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over55c8,500$4,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6753444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c8,064$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c7,991$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Over76c7,962$6,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,086.821566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c6,721$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over65c6,290$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under32c6,204$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.216445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c6,087$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.8964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over54c5,743$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under32c4,268$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.471,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fb…54d0backed Over71c4,221$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over70c3,635$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.5613759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under32c3,281$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.961,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under31c3,046$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.5195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over11c3,028$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Over72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.961471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under40c2,433$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.3756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over60c2,169$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.6520350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over53c2,001$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.9836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over38c2,000$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.3628056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over52c1,999$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.484456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5265…8184backed Over56c1,916$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.834932.7%16 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Over70c1,846$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under33c1,834$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.211,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,802$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under42c1,761$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.341,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over16c1,719$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over68c1,717$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.551752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under29c1,715$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.6431455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over67c1,672$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.341,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over65c1,560$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.795971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over72c1,525$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over67c1,363$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.161,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under44c1,340$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.2668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c1,150$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.3955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over69c1,102$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.3966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under70c1,058$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c1,022$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.3684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under28c948.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0223256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c931.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.692,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c929$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.521,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under31c863.81$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.8462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…8c37backed Over42c861.04$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over49c799.98$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over38c760.13$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x940c…b006backed Under30c750$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…c0d2backed Over71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b09…7dd1backed Over72c609.9$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under47c555.72$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over56c549.41$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.674560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd530…0a31backed Over70c517.69$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.381020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over68c514.28$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…2efebacked Over70c511.13$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.712544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over25c482.18$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8344821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over70c428.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over46c409.18$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.44119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac15…dd90backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under52c351.33$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over26c320.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7817…8812backed Over58c310.7$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.211872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over60c308$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.282259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over45c305.8$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0446959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ec…232abacked Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x503d…5ba3backed Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0811437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…63b9backed Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over67c297.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6512542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c284.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.352,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over73c275.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under25c275$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2513747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over50c261.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…50f6backed Over16c260.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.67933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under23c252.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under23c252.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Over70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17521243.9%93 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over32c249.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.999654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed Over55c249.93$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.381216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under55c248.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over67c238.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over35c223.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.511435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over10c222.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Under70c220.09$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.036336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under59c219.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7094…a734backed Under31c217.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.221361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df2…d472backed Over69c215.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under70c215.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3821640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Over27c213.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over47c211.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.048252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.