TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,260 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf137…50b2backed Yes45c886.15$400 inLost-$4001973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b2…cedbbacked Yes47c785.8$372 inLost-$372.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+128.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No53c711.02$377 inWon+$334.182,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No54c699.98$375 inWon+$324.9990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No52c686.8$355 inWon+$331.5379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No57c568.76$325 inWon+$244.261,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes46c466.86$214 inLost-$214.34942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No59c250.59$148 inWon+$103.0633049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes43c230.23$99 inLost-$9919951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes47c214.87$100 inLost-$1002250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes47c214.36$100 inLost-$1009353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ff…1957backed Yes14c199.99$28 inLost-$28520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes47c198.79$93 inLost-$93.2315048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No59c179.12$106 inWon+$72.6585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Yes42c164.37$69 inLost-$69.373850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No54c160$86 inWon+$73.643752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes45c151$67 inLost-$67.2512450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No55c147.96$81 inWon+$66.5860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No54c100$54 inWon+$45.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No56c79.98$45 inWon+$35.1911852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost-$3069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Yes43c60$26 inLost-$264553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3b…531fbacked Yes44c54.74$24 inLost-$23.982937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes43c46.78$20 inLost-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost-$1520951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.798354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed No59c30$18 inWon+$12.252552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No57c27.01$15 inWon+$11.6833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked No64c25.74$16 inWon+$9.3522756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes39c25.69$10 inLost-$10.1341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa47a…efe1backed Yes43c25.23$11 inLost-$10.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4078…7d91backed Yes40c25$10 inLost-$105540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Yes53c25$13 inLost-$13.253040%12 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No55c19.96$11 inWon+$9.013666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.