TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks26c19,377$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,377.439725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks30c10,492$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,303.7312741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Cavaliers49c9,379$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.522339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers49c8,874$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.7769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks80c8,648$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.6352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks51c8,189$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Knicks20c7,083$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6684738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers75c5,887$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Cavaliers60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks51c3,557$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.111,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers76c3,199$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.2250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks23c3,146$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.131,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers50c3,134$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers52c3,116$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.051,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Cavaliers54c2,438$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.533444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks35c2,362$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.541,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers65c1,958$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers67c1,730$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Knicks48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78095651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks22c1,400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.9830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Cavaliers76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers77c1,300$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers75c1,213$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Cavaliers61c1,100$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67111452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers63c1,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.9936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks23c1,083$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.8552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers62c979.81$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks57c966$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.141,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Knicks74c947.68$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.686357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers55c947.03$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.651,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks40c939.16$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Cavaliers50c862.82$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.415525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa350…454bbacked Cavaliers58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-85.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Cavaliers58c793.02$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.025143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Cavaliers76c789.47$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers78c786.87$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.9364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers51c773.32$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers50c717.43$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Knicks15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.678752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks23c660$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.218643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Cavaliers76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Cavaliers30c629.95$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7527245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks51c614.49$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers53c561.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks41c554.35$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers64c514.09$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers64c512.37$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Knicks23c506$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6219741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks42c465.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers7c463.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Cavaliers55c457.6$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks40c452.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Knicks28c438.39$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks41c438$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Knicks24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6714924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers35c405.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Cavaliers77c398.74$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.534548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85f…9816backed Cavaliers68c398.02$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.821030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers76c372.43$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers5c367.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks24c349.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.898348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f7…d7debacked Cavaliers34c348.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Cavaliers27c336.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks20c333$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.453945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks54c331.19$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cavaliers77c322.83$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks59c322.57$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Cavaliers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Knicks24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Cavaliers16c284$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks15c282.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.091,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Cavaliers75c276$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…86abbacked Cavaliers78c275.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Cavaliers78c270.19$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.751560%9 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks37c267.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Knicks34c266.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Knicks63c260.91$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6227357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Knicks46c256$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.449156%51 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed Knicks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Knicks20c249.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.929941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Knicks34c237.83$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.833735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Cavaliers53c229.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.885431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0078…0690backed Knicks78c227.19$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick41cpaid+135%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers76c219.7$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers75c200$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Knicks22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Cavaliers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9cd2…1d66backed Knicks24c187.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks35c187$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Cavaliers43c184.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Knicks36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.87133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Knicks75c172.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3521640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks48c168.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7515648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Knicks19c167$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8126639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers47c164.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks23c157.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.431,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Knicks32c157.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.667356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.