NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03489a4311e0dc6b8ce3cd23f035e8d05f90020319fb0247bbc5cfb13a62b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 21,256$11,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,245.88 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 47c | 10,000$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.72 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks | 47c | 7,980$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.39 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Knicks | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,178$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Knicks | 55c | 1,915$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,223$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.35 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Knicks | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.85 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 999.99$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks | 47c | 711.3$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 646.2$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.75 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 53c | 593$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.29 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers | 53c | 582.77$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.43 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Knicks | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Cavaliers | 41c | 498.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Knicks | 45c | 437.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Knicks | 48c | 256$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 200.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks | 46c | 198.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Knicks | 69c | 197.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Cavaliers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Knicks | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Cavaliers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 108.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…3612backed Knicks | 47c | 102.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Knicks | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Knicks | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cavaliers | 31c | 88.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Cavaliers | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Cavaliers | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Knicks | 47c | 79.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 73.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 57.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Knicks | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Cavaliers | 62c | 49.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 36.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Cavaliers | 46c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Knicks | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Knicks | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Knicks | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Knicks | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.