NBA · resolved market
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61bf595fdf745c7b90c9ce52a4c2de46c77544e6d4f03d816f2d3984c946c85d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.05 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 52c | 553.05$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 407.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Yes | 26c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 68c | 335.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 51c | 294.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…90a1backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Yes | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 47c | 192.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 50c | 180.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 50c | 130.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 49c | 120.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…8452backed Yes | 49c | 77.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 64.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…c8b8backed Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed No | 51c | 34.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…a817backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.