TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11a7…86ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$76.52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$59.89
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+71%+$82.26
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.66
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.79
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$77.26
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.33
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$92.36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.64
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$112.96
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saitobacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.91
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.13
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41%+$47.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$83.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.