Tennis · resolved market
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e5b4ca5a7d2c021ed927ccaa44414114b518a2313926f1490bee76ce69de5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Saitoof Yuriko Lily Miyazaki, Sara Saito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 2c | 1,220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Sara Saito | 16c | 757.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 45c | 726.63$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.83 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 47c | 648.71$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sara Saito | 34c | 619.83$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 50c | 501.09$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 80c | 422.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Sara Saito | 29c | 340$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Sara Saito | 51c | 324.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 65c | 323.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…44f2backed Sara Saito | 24c | 284.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sara Saito | 35c | 229.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Saito | 45c | 220.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Sara Saito | 20c | 209.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Sara Saito | 51c | 196.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sara Saito | 76c | 189.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…86abbacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 64c | 184.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 61c | 159.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Sara Saito | 61c | 151.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 27c | 122.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 54c | 114.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 28c | 103.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Sara Saito | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Sara Saito | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked Sara Saito | 48c | 79.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Sara Saito | 52c | 74.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 47c | 73.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Sara Saito | 46c | 65.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sara Saito | 56c | 54.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Sara Saito | 63c | 47.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…b976backed Sara Saito | 33c | 45.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sara Saito | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sara Saito | 57c | 44.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…435fbacked Sara Saito | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sara Saito | 60c | 37.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Sara Saito | 53c | 36.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 57c | 35.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 41c | 34.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 65c | 30.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Sara Saito | 50c | 30.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 48c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 69c | 28.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 41c | 28.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 52c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 58c | 24.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Sara Saito | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Sara Saito | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…d143backed Sara Saito | 52c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 66c | 19.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Sara Saito | 57c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…ea9dbacked Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.