TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65c4…7ea4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
610
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT55942.6%238 W · 321 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 559 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$43.24
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.65
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$8.52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$13.49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$5.18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$11.03
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$3.76
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.53
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$3.77
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$13.29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$11.06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$6.59
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Showing 25 of 559 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.17
Hugo Gaston vs. Gael Monfils: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.46
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$15.31
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigurbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$5.02
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borgesbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
ITF Takasaki: Sara Saito vs Hayu Kinoshitabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$15.26
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.88
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$11.66
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$4.69
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$9.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.58
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$12.49
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Surreybacked Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$7.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$6.71
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$10.59
Gran Canaria vs. Manresabacked Gran Canaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$11.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.