Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae213162a3fac2d81987d030a8f317d29e080a3b32aa4a417ce27ef6df70777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 64c | 3,379$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.2 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 68c | 642.13$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 30c | 169.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 32c | 122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 32c | 121.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 32c | 114.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 62c | 86.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Over | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 21c | 53.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…e3d5backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Over | 32c | 45.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Under | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)Deep Cross Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.