Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e05e5612509544c61a0015be0d8d30d0a5dcbd51e1c28b35dcc66283ef4f7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deep Cross Gamingof Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, Deep Cross Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 5,915$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.65 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 4,562$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.8 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 67c | 4,442$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.76 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 30c | 3,957$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.23 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 67c | 2,183$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.4 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.82 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Deep Cross Gaming | 69c | 1,207$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 749.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 740$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 708.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.67 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 590$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 579.98$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 35c | 482$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 478$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Deep Cross Gaming | 69c | 371.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 322.08$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 321$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 313$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 295$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Deep Cross Gaming | 65c | 272.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 228.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Deep Cross Gaming | 70c | 219$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 177.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 93.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 65.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Deep Cross Gaming | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 48.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 34c | 43.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Deep Cross Gaming | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Deep Cross Gaming | 69c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Deep Cross Gaming | 69c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.