TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Supah Hotof Ray J, Supah Hot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Ray J0c17,615$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.974148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf25c…732cbacked Ray J2c9,825$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Ray J18c9,503$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8a…8730backed Ray J1c8,475$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ray J20c2,844$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…f52abacked Supah Hot77c2,188$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Ray J47c2,112$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002479.2%19 W · 5 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+76.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Supah Hot47c2,030$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed Supah Hot74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef1f…5868backed Ray J1c1,716$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Ray J66c1,472$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Ray J21c1,385$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.850%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77e5…ec41backed Ray J18c1,378$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ray J29c1,100$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x676b…5bc3backed Supah Hot73c1,091$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Supah Hot80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Ray J30c999.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.991741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Ray J2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Supah Hot69c795.32$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Ray J21c659.03$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Supah Hot69c537$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Supah Hot79c529.13$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Supah Hot65c525.08$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Ray J28c525$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Ray J80c502.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Ray J23c488.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Ray J31c467.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b22…ab06backed Ray J27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Ray J27c439.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Supah Hot72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf450…cb65backed Supah Hot73c379.26$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde64…a821backed Ray J24c310.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Ray J20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd707…73b3backed Ray J34c287.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Supah Hot75c252.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503f…c4debacked Ray J21c239.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ray J26c239.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.354820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf76a…b506backed Ray J19c228.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Supah Hot75c218$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.364839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d0…38e5backed Ray J21c208.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Ray J26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a08…cce8backed Ray J21c184.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Supah Hot76c170.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.23560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08e…1256backed Ray J18c167.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc726…becdbacked Ray J29c164.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Ray J19c164.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Ray J28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ae…b5bbbacked Ray J33c144.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ray J16c141.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed Supah Hot71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Supah Hot72c139.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c85…e424backed Supah Hot73c139.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+107.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Ray J22c139.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf9…0930backed Supah Hot70c137.31$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.19540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Ray J27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e09…151fbacked Ray J19c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3221…f1bebacked Ray J19c108.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…2881backed Supah Hot71c105.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…2ccbbacked Supah Hot68c102.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeea…a8dfbacked Supah Hot72c101.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2429…0df3backed Ray J25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Ray J28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Ray J22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Supah Hot70c92.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2773…045cbacked Ray J44c92.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Ray J30c92.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Supah Hot80c91.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.221650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+84.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ce…4011backed Ray J22c87.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Ray J15c86.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Ray J34c84.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…647abacked Supah Hot72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258b…525fbacked Ray J29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Ray J15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb2…7f19backed Ray J26c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…b306backed Ray J20c77.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…c2bdbacked Ray J28c76.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Supah Hot69c74.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Ray J21c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fe…cdb9backed Ray J23c61.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Ray J25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Ray J28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158f…ddb5backed Supah Hot58c55.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Supah Hot68c53.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…80dcbacked Supah Hot80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…cf27backed Supah Hot80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20b…390bbacked Supah Hot80c49.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Ray J22c46.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09b…0a70backed Ray J41c45.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ray J35c45.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Ray J27c45.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fe…4e68backed Supah Hot71c42.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce85…e292backed Supah Hot67c40.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6d…b81fbacked Supah Hot78c40.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…f49abacked Supah Hot74c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0514…f8c6backed Ray J41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…419dbacked Ray J30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…cdb7backed Supah Hot77c38.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac1…896ebacked Ray J39c36.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd08…cb46backed Ray J33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked Ray J39c34.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.