TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf72…647a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Boxing, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$32.81
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$233
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$124.89
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$45.12
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.1
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$37.9
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$105.67
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.11
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.6
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.32
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$56.83
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$74.43
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.5%+$30.99
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.53
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+355.7%+$142.29
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.83
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.84
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Lerryan Douglas win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.93
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$57.87
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed del Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.44
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 4 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$483.76
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+57%+$254
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.