UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef7ab8718dbabf41d88bd983453031d00e6e108d5af95017540cf8265f25f389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lance Gibson Jr.of Chase Hooper, Lance Gibson Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Chase Hooper | 0c | 126,793$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chase Hooper | 77c | 45,828$35,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,287.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 27c | 42,985$11,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,483.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…d2edbacked Chase Hooper | 0c | 42,630$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 21,359$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,421.78 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chase Hooper | 73c | 21,269$15,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,526.21 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Chase Hooper | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.96 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 24c | 16,748$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,772.33 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chase Hooper | 75c | 14,549$10,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,859.97 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 12,350$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,509.5 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 11,844$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,101.07 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Chase Hooper | 1c | 10,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chase Hooper | 77c | 9,137$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.25 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chase Hooper | 74c | 8,888$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.23 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 7,418$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,716.54 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Chase Hooper | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Chase Hooper | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chase Hooper | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 25c | 5,816$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.06 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Chase Hooper | 73c | 5,761$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 36c | 5,492$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.98 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 4,884$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chase Hooper | 74c | 4,830$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.82 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 62c | 4,592$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.58 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…6eaabacked Chase Hooper | 74c | 4,400$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 3,900$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 3,264$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.52 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Chase Hooper | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Chase Hooper | 76c | 2,956$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chase Hooper | 74c | 2,934$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.97 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Chase Hooper | 78c | 2,830$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 31c | 2,761$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.84 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chase Hooper | 74c | 2,530$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36b…d14ebacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 26c | 2,400$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Chase Hooper | 64c | 2,039$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 25c | 2,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.41 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chase Hooper | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Chase Hooper | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…39adbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 25c | 1,876$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.38 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 27c | 1,812$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.4 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Chase Hooper | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 57c | 1,764$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 63c | 1,720$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.01 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 1,414$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.45 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Chase Hooper | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Chase Hooper | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 24c | 1,285$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 1,235$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.18 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 38c | 1,223$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Chase Hooper | 78c | 1,133$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.67 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 30c | 1,044$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 39c | 1,009$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.68 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Chase Hooper | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 1,000$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Chase Hooper | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Chase Hooper | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Chase Hooper | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Chase Hooper | 70c | 982.56$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.79 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Chase Hooper | 72c | 980$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Chase Hooper | 78c | 900$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Chase Hooper | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 891.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.5 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked Chase Hooper | 78c | 877.33$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 26c | 857.78$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chase Hooper | 72c | 837.61$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.46 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 820$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Chase Hooper | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 29c | 752$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Chase Hooper | 9c | 750$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chase Hooper | 77c | 739.93$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.58 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Chase Hooper | 74c | 698.81$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Chase Hooper | 72c | 691$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.52 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Chase Hooper | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…3dadbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 664$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 647.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.83 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Chase Hooper | 74c | 627.63$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Chase Hooper | 62c | 599.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 27c | 575$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chase Hooper | 77c | 563.94$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.82 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chase Hooper | 76c | 511.44$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Chase Hooper | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 482.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.27 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 24c | 442.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 440.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Chase Hooper | 79c | 409.67$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fd1bbacked Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed Chase Hooper | 75c | 402.85$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Lance Gibson Jr. | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.