TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe267…3dad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$45.23
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$7.43
Madrid Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockxbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$26.74
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$27.97
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$7.63
Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauffbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+337.1%+$123.71
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$5.38
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.78
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.84
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$22.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$39.64
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78%+$13.73
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$83.22
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$36.46
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.65
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+292.7%+$66.95
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.04
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+218.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$24.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.