Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbffad6c4225b734e7488a3bd514e8c89cf9ef6a634514daf16a2ff8d9f2e5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $695,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 45c | 80,630$36,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,614.08 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…188fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 62,609$34,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,751.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 61,733$36,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,374.22 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 28c | 56,000$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,680 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Team Falcons | 46c | 46,009$21,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,384.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons | 39c | 44,272$17,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,467.69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 36,050$10,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,964 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 25,159$16,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.16 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION | 45c | 24,586$11,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,544.2 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 21,489$11,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,819.01 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 52c | 20,753$10,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,746.3 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed PARIVISION | 59c | 15,918$9,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 42c | 12,170$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,026.84 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION | 47c | 11,090$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,932.56 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 55c | 10,607$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.64 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 9,390$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 8,973$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.8 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed PARIVISION | 51c | 8,684$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.72 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 41c | 8,098$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.44 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 7,629$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.23 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Falcons | 29c | 7,005$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.65 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 7,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 7,000$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.98 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 25c | 6,632$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.74 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 38c | 6,447$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.14 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 50c | 6,357$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.81 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2037backed Team Falcons | 58c | 5,993$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.25 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 5,000$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.57 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,598$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 4,531$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.05 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Falcons | 57c | 4,460$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Team Falcons | 30c | 4,350$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 4,011$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.15 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 4,006$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.7 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,002$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 58c | 4,000$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.42 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 46c | 3,552$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.11 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…0c1ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,453$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION | 59c | 3,419$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.64 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,356$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 3,205$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.81 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 3,188$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.27 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 70c | 3,163$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.96 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 59c | 3,005$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.05 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Team Falcons | 26c | 2,740$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,735$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.04 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 2,701$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Team Falcons | 30c | 2,595$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed PARIVISION | 42c | 2,580$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.29 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,525$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.65 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,469$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.27 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,441$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.85 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,330$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.5 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,170$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,093$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.64 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked PARIVISION | 43c | 2,079$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 2,076$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.8 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,058$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.06 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 2,014$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,011$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 2,008$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,000$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 1,940$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…6b3abacked PARIVISION | 40c | 1,937$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,910$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,900$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,818$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,812$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.53 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,746$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.57 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,742$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,738$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.71 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,682$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,671$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.29 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,665$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,658$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,654$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,652$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,638$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,575$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,555$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.97 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,540$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.76 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed PARIVISION | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,461$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.88 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,452$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,417$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.75 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,364$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,293$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.82 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,277$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,246$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.29 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.