Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f7712bb110c320aac582a0697ddd8b11834c9bfc24dc77bc5a36818f68d760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 49c | 32,993$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,893.07 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 32,221$12,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,905.23 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Team Falcons | 18c | 21,848$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.48 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Falcons | 43c | 12,539$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.33 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 61c | 12,251$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.34 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 52c | 10,745$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.43 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 64c | 9,631$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.79 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 8,757$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.39 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed PARIVISION | 56c | 8,233$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.22 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed PARIVISION | 57c | 7,993$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Falcons | 39c | 7,297$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.52 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION | 58c | 6,613$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.98 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 51c | 5,760$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.69 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,633$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.23 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 5,558$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.6 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.04 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 5,434$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.83 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 60c | 5,011$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.08 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 32c | 5,010$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed PARIVISION | 58c | 4,758$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.25 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 4,657$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 4,640$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.78 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 4,385$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.32 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Falcons | 3c | 4,379$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 4,100$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.97 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 4,082$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,941$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 3,719$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.6 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 3,300$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.8 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 3,089$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.05 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 2,975$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.06 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 2,753$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.08 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Team Falcons | 37c | 2,611$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 2,587$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.16 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 2,514$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,468$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.61 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 2,200$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,160$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,019$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.36 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,006$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.61 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.14 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,953$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,911$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.25 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,675$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.13 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,632$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,622$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,587$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.92 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.1 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,534$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.85 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,496$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,449$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.74 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 1,380$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,355$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,293$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,284$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.72 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,254$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.88 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Falcons | 11c | 1,237$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,211$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,202$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,130$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.74 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,100$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,100$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.68 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,093$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,062$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,060$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.42 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.87 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…bf33backed Team Falcons | 5c | 904.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 50c | 874.75$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.38 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons | 6c | 849.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed PARIVISION | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed PARIVISION | 50c | 800.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 41c | 781.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 51c | 752.78$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 743$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.79 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 55c | 721.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 42c | 700$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 699.34$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.87 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 61c | 671.08$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 60c | 651.85$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.74 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 45c | 640.91$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 44c | 632$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.08 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 603.81$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.