Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338fb73892386ee2a7cf4cfada755dd050242ad1fe3a964ac0edb42c2abd8356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $866,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,053,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $866,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 50c | 206,789$104,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,352.72 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 46c | 122,384$56,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,078.64 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Team Falcons | 0c | 80,326$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 48c | 68,529$32,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,821.73 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 45c | 44,254$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,253.55 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 10c | 14,680$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Falcons | 57c | 13,069$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,472.74 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION | 53c | 12,611$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.83 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Falcons | 55c | 12,414$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.85 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Falcons | 58c | 11,630$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.28 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 10,974$6,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,108.78 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 10,348$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.65 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 8,034$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.79 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 7,736$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.12 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 59c | 7,695$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.46 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 7,313$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.08 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 6,494$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.04 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 48c | 5,986$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.47 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.69 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked PARIVISION | 46c | 5,509$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 56c | 5,303$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.33 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Falcons | 43c | 5,279$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.81 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd3…6f41backed PARIVISION | 45c | 5,111$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Team Falcons | 7c | 5,101$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.64 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 53c | 5,100$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…07e2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 5,090$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 5,090$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.79 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Team Falcons | 42c | 5,038$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 5,000$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons | 26c | 4,977$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.14 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…2b48backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,909$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…0739backed PARIVISION | 45c | 4,856$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 4,651$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.71 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 67c | 4,589$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.93 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed PARIVISION | 42c | 4,206$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.27 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,999$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed PARIVISION | 41c | 3,675$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.03 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,454$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,351$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.64 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,333$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed PARIVISION | 55c | 2,769$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.47 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 2,744$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed PARIVISION | 55c | 2,657$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.74 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Team Falcons | 26c | 2,574$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed PARIVISION | 42c | 2,484$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.83 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed PARIVISION | 60c | 2,483$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 2,428$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.66 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Team Falcons | 29c | 2,391$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,326$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 2,298$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.73 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 60c | 2,237$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.83 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,165$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.59 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 25c | 2,124$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed Team Falcons | 7c | 2,116$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed PARIVISION | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Team Falcons | 7c | 2,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,996$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.11 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,919$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.88 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,900$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,900$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Team Falcons | 7c | 1,858$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,825$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.7 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,775$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Team Falcons | 14c | 1,760$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 1,700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 6c | 1,687$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 1,602$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.9 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,590$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,578$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.62 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,500$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.15 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 1,491$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.29 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,488$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.29 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 1,435$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.16 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,411$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.47 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.19 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,377$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,318$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,316$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.81 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Falcons | 13c | 1,304$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Team Falcons | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Team Falcons | 12c | 1,293$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,246$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,208$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.54 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,205$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.54 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,180$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,179$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,066$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.43 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 1,047$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.