TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ee5…9ac2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$25.74
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.45
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$159.27
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.75
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.32
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.02
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.82
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$125.18
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$252.18
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$148.88
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+477.3%+$386.6
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$208.07
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.13
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.16
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$162.34
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.46
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$26.28
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+367.9%+$41.07
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+70%+$21.01
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$116.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.98
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.82
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$37.37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$59.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$151.21
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$30.54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$13.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.44
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.64
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.49
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$40.14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$47.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$44.47
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.75
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.03
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$22.8
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$26.14
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$289.62
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.19
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+356.7%+$167.63
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.