World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd61ad4fc1900538d6de0a4cbb8c138a89ef3e51b31b1f403fe5e56b39bba2baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…6f56backed No | 10c | 14,584$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…8c34backed Yes | 59c | 2,724$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 1c | 2,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 7c | 2,667$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…2300backed No | 1c | 1,431$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,304$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…3d78backed No | 25c | 1,268$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 13c | 1,253$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…6694backed Yes | 18c | 927.65$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…e154backed Yes | 13c | 824.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +650.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…7fd9backed Yes | 16c | 822$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Yes | 16c | 796$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +261.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 16c | 783$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 76c | 766.99$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 14c | 715.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 72c | 614.55$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 58c | 611.76$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…0dbabacked Yes | 17c | 536.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…d2abbacked Yes | 15c | 529.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 55c | 444.01$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 22c | 440.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.83 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 42c | 417.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…23c4backed Yes | 15c | 364.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +571.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 355.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…41dcbacked No | 61c | 350$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 14c | 335.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…3a53backed No | 55c | 327.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 11c | 315.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Yes | 54c | 305.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 271.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…0c4dbacked Yes | 79c | 262.72$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 24c | 261.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed Yes | 22c | 214.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 14c | 208.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 20c | 204.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 55c | 199.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…2dbebacked Yes | 36c | 179.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 171.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…93cdbacked Yes | 10c | 170$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +288.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 24c | 159.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…4a61backed No | 29c | 159.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…7d8ebacked Yes | 62c | 119.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…d825backed Yes | 33c | 111.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…d941backed Yes | 63c | 104.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 104$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 20c | 102.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…cf46backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 94.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…fd5dbacked Yes | 27c | 93.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 86.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 45c | 81.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…4745backed Yes | 43c | 78.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…eac1backed No | 27c | 52.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 79c | 50.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 48.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…6935backed Yes | 42c | 47.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 76c | 46.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…81c8backed Yes | 49c | 40.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…2aa8backed Yes | 77c | 38.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…06d7backed Yes | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…0bb9backed Yes | 60c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…93e1backed Yes | 64c | 31.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 79c | 24.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked No | 48c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…5221backed Yes | 51c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 76c | 18.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.