World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64dcff3f3b768bef21e2ebdb1b998879781549e8326461343e56040c651eff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa60c…6514backed No | 46c | 1,295$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,200$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…7442backed No | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb60…802abacked No | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…5f63backed No | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 56c | 949$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed Yes | 44c | 928$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…adc5backed Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…77cfbacked Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…3c8dbacked Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…4a9cbacked Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…f1a2backed Yes | 54c | 853$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 40c | 626.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 5c | 625.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Yes | 43c | 594.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 42c | 588.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 67c | 465$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 429.79$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 42c | 413.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 32c | 409.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…cf46backed Yes | 8c | 343$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…63f0backed Yes | 45c | 244.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes | 34c | 232.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…3dc1backed Yes | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 29c | 185.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 55c | 181.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…26f0backed Yes | 52c | 158.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…8063backed Yes | 42c | 144.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed Yes | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 130.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…d825backed Yes | 15c | 130.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 44c | 123.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…304abacked Yes | 21c | 116.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 61c | 104.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 101.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 66c | 82.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 82.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…89f6backed Yes | 41c | 81.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…2473backed Yes | 37c | 81.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 14c | 75.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 57c | 72.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 67c | 71.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 65.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…9d0bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…0c10backed Yes | 20c | 60.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…ed32backed Yes | 20c | 59.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 58.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…ec00backed Yes | 18c | 57.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 36c | 56.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…6e39backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe029…5fd4backed Yes | 36c | 50.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 28c | 49.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3f…1821backed Yes | 49c | 44.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…018abacked Yes | 46c | 36.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 40c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…889ebacked No | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…61fbbacked Yes | 43c | 34.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 33.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 54c | 33.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 33.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 43c | 26.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 42c | 26.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 58c | 25.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 65c | 22.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.