TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72a8…c016

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Stocks, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.8
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.54
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$157.57
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$124.36
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.5
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.84
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.52
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.93
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.28
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.74
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.81
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.58
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$78.78
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.35
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$108.1
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$107.07
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.68
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.85
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+77%+$49.02
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.03
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$20.88
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.6%+$5.97
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$63.14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.18
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$77.89
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.61
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$813.43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$125.37
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$537.97
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.66
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+900%+$183.85
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$437.99
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$326.75
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.69
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$175.84
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$155.97
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+140%+$300.89
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+174.6%+$63.25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25.5%+$212.83
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$103.57
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.5%+$283.28
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.3%+$174.58
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.85
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.34
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$313.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52.7
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.68
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$111.94
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.68
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.8%+$90.22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.4%+$18.36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+138.1%+$30.14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.9%+$36.07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$32.93
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.4%+$67.58
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$30.11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+773.3%+$150.89
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+62.7%+$9.59
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$10.74
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$33.11
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.2%+$13.13
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+128.8%+$146.24
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$64.77
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$77.69
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.18
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.46
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$1,084.26
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$98.05
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.9%+$130.35
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$131.99
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33.58
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.1%+$146.79
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.7%+$75.42
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$14.53
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.7%+$116.09
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$115.21
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.3
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$270.58
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+74.6%+$180.33
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95.15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$134.09
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$74.62
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$36.66
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$79.69
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+55.1%+$95.26
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $182 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$55.85
Will Google dip to $310 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+60%+$99.54
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.2%+$98.51
Will Opendoor dip to $5.50 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+185.7%+$173.37
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $450-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$53.05
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+244.8%+$165.74
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$68.49
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$193.91
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $330?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43.3%+$161.43
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $325?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$288.48
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $245?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$102.55
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$53.98
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $6.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$112
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $425?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+150%+$157.28
Will Meta (META) finish week of January 19 above $600?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$95.81
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$54.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.26
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$101.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$28.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$74.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$600.12
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$197.51
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+103%+$79.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.6%+$16.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$105.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.52
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+204%+$39.13
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$183.96
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$67.65
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.69
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55.81
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$44.74
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.91
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 46-47°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$21.95
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.56
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.62
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.53
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.09
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.41
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.14
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.1%+$110.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$113.87
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.42
Will "Robot" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.52
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.2%+$203.15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+167%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+57.3%+$119.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$512.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.