Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc0f7a00d40430d2a2a514fd26bf54f567191ea513ff57aa6be3e00bf19e5346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 11,183$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.29 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 7c | 6,349$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 70c | 5,417$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.81 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 14c | 4,679$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 19c | 4,238$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 17c | 3,141$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,940$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.61 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 20c | 1,929$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,564$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.92 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…ad49backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 31c | 1,248$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…fda4backed Yes | 32c | 1,225$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,132$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,110$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…de7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 18c | 959$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 900$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 19c | 829.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 19c | 699.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…f26abacked Yes | 11c | 641.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 77c | 627.68$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed No | 69c | 599.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…56b6backed Yes | 22c | 588.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…0db6backed Yes | 11c | 580.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes | 19c | 551.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 26c | 547.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…91dfbacked Yes | 19c | 532.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 506.02$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 21c | 403.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked No | 71c | 360$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 334.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 19c | 323.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 322.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 19c | 318.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 28c | 318$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 288.32$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…62fcbacked No | 69c | 285.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 11c | 280.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 30c | 231.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 25c | 202.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…0564backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…8c09backed No | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 17c | 199.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked No | 72c | 199.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 79c | 194.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 16c | 192.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 188.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…1076backed Yes | 29c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d561backed No | 76c | 171.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 170.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 71c | 141.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…1e8abacked Yes | 31c | 137$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 23c | 136.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed No | 73c | 135.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 79c | 133.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…3a39backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…be02backed Yes | 18c | 124.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -76%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…b6a6backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 30c | 111.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…b10ebacked Yes | 19c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 17c | 100.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…be12backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6c…5c67backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…2bd6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 74c | 98.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…95c3backed Yes | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c354backed No | 68c | 94.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…0a51backed No | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f6c8backed Yes | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…ad22backed Yes | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 78c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…169fbacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…0fb3backed Yes | 18c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Yes | 17c | 83.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…3027backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…dd65backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 70c | 58.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked Yes | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…c0d4backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…803ebacked No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…b641backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…9b88backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…0aa6backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…99ffbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…9a66backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…67abbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…9838backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?this page
- Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
- Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes won
- Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
- Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
- Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.