TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c49…1d27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT5969.5%41 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+45%+$6.75
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cap Cana: Hubert Hurkacz vs Mattia Belluccibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
BNP Paribas Open: Andrey Rublev vs Gabriel Diallobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.1%+$7.83
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
BNP Paribas Open: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Keegan Smithbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
BNP Paribas Open: Mariano Navone vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$144
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$92.07
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$87.51
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.42
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$117.44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$326.9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.53
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.15
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$286.22
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.96
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.85
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.97
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.01
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.68
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.25
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.14
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$40.02
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+153.1%+$15.31
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.7%+$8.14
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Dupont De Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+50.4%+$6.04
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$3
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$79.81
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.85
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$170
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$256.06
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$234.7
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.44
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$313
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$358.6
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$203.35
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$196.42
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$345.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$62.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$178.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.