Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 1?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849bfe144b10096225e60efb7c30c21dc4968a100db1f1c0643907abc3905187

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,773 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	40c	784.32$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.5	4,496	19.6%882 W · 3,614 L	+49.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	63c	713.9$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.3	6,787	39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L	+256.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked No	54c	641.5$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.89	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.8wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed Yes	24c	504.37$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.46	17,355	19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L	+396.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80a…c714backed Yes	25c	389.58$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.66	1,977	18.8%371 W · 1,606 L	+8.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	18c	381.11$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.94	7,148	9.3%666 W · 6,482 L	-1,105.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	23c	350.47$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.97	8,162	49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L	+269.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0209…e1a8backed No	4c	250$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	1,322	32.2%426 W · 896 L	-43.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b1…ab63backed Yes	17c	199$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	385	47.5%183 W · 202 L	+16.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1348…7037backed Yes	75c	195$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.25	176	65.9%116 W · 60 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No	25c	185.04$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.03	636	56.1%357 W · 279 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1361…f12bbacked Yes	32c	178.73$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	1,924	33.8%651 W · 1,273 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	50c	177.93$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.47	2,262	39.6%895 W · 1,367 L	-56.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	54c	175.46$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.34	1,605	42.9%689 W · 916 L	-86.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4add…6fe5backed No	39c	173.02$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.26	1,452	36.8%534 W · 918 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	46c	167.93$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.49	4,120	60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	75c	165.59$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.01	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	23c	164.32$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.11	2,119	36.1%764 W · 1,355 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74f…25c0backed No	62c	154.67$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.58	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8781…88c0backed No	20c	144.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.72	325	48.6%158 W · 167 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba04…310bbacked Yes	49c	137.74$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.11	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c38…f194backed No	35c	129.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.08	2,517	47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L	+52.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…617cbacked Yes	78c	125.88$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.77	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8e…20fabacked Yes	32c	121.15$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd36…a832backed Yes	41c	117.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.77	650	43.4%282 W · 368 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	66c	116.86$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.42	3,175	62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L	+12.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…1831backed Yes	27c	115.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.82	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…f315backed Yes	37c	111.2$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.49	139	30.2%42 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked No	11c	105$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.2	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3182…4ff7backed No	66c	102.71$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.51	141	68.1%96 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No	60c	99.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.99	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0a…0a1abacked Yes	49c	95.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.61	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes	49c	94.76$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	237	38%90 W · 147 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	33c	93.52$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	3,939	35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L	+35.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes	51c	90.49$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.42	324	44.4%144 W · 180 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3b…b989backed No	22c	88.22$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.81	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	61c	88$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.32	9,490	45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L	-278.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	33c	85.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	1,840	37%681 W · 1,159 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b5…47bfbacked No	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	176	33.5%59 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0f…99d0backed No	23c	83.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.9	864	20.1%174 W · 690 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	47c	82.92$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.83	12,173	46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L	-42.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99cd…bafbbacked No	14c	78.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.39	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…dbc0backed Yes	72c	69.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.78	167	64.1%107 W · 60 L	-13.7wins	-0.08per pick	72cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No	73c	69.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	1,842	63.5%1,170 W · 672 L	-42.5wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed No	56c	67.14$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.54	271	67.2%182 W · 89 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0101…172ebacked Yes	51c	66.91$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes	43c	66.46$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	301	41.2%124 W · 177 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf954…dec8backed Yes	63c	62.28$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…ca1bbacked No	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	1,275	34%433 W · 842 L	+46.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b1…2d82backed Yes	34c	59.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb6…2ff6backed Yes	40c	58.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed Yes	55c	57.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.48	230	35.7%82 W · 148 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe928…3b65backed Yes	37c	56.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Yes	42c	56.62$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	1,204	25.3%305 W · 899 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	31c	55.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.06	12,498	19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L	-2,667.3wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	26-0.21 edge/pick
0x4add…fb04backed Yes	45c	54.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	118	44.9%53 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b1…6754backed Yes	57c	54.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.06	354	65%230 W · 124 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	69c	52.94$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.74	869	49.8%433 W · 436 L	-24.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes	24c	52.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	332	43.1%143 W · 189 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,991	52.3%1,042 W · 949 L	-76.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2f0…35f7backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+48%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb608…881ebacked Yes	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…fa18backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…d964backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe19…071ebacked No	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…b3a9backed No	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	2,995	31.4%940 W · 2,055 L	+41.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed No	47c	49.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed No	50c	49.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes	38c	49.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.74	559	42.6%238 W · 321 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7396…b89cbacked No	74c	48.35$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.72	107	80.4%86 W · 21 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	74cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc893…e712backed Yes	25c	45.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa336…43f1backed Yes	42c	44.58$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	150	47.3%71 W · 79 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36c2…2b8cbacked No	67c	44.51$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.69	707	70.2%496 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b8c…d073backed Yes	38c	44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc605…ebdfbacked Yes	36c	42.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	46c	41.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	409	35%143 W · 266 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc25d…67b3backed Yes	56c	40.81$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.85	111	61.3%68 W · 43 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdc…cb42backed No	48c	40.76$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	72c	40.35$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb242…eb89backed Yes	72c	40.31$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes	50c	38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	88	61.4%54 W · 34 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a31…335fbacked No	45c	37.8$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.79	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8e…af43backed Yes	39c	37.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c49…1d27backed No	50c	37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Yes	37c	37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	263	27.8%73 W · 190 L	+14.9wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a0…636abacked No	37c	36.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes	47c	36.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	146	32.9%48 W · 98 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a105backed Yes	38c	36.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…a5a8backed No	73c	34.07$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	2,015	67.7%1,365 W · 650 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes	59c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	240	66.3%159 W · 81 L	+13.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fb2…f30bbacked Yes	63c	33.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…141dbacked No	64c	32.92$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	1,256	38.2%480 W · 776 L	+53.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab14…e786backed Yes	35c	32.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…0366backed Yes	34c	31.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a3…fc4abacked No	62c	30.75$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.68	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	-11.4wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29ad…8d47backed Yes	47c	30.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	205	46.8%96 W · 109 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes	55c	28.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	-8.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…30d9backed Yes	39c	28.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 1?this page
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 1?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 1?No won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 1?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 1?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event