NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f07cfeb3560c59d7a0b6f66bb0ee249861cd8c74a1c50f4e1ec5a2dc4cfc8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,378,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,365,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,378,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 793 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Sharks | 47c | 124,886$58,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,839.46 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 53c | 80,750$43,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,552.46 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 73c | 74,731$54,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,003.64 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Sharks | 49c | 67,587$33,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,071.75 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Sharks | 35c | 65,581$22,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,953.48 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sharks | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.98 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 50c | 58,194$29,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,127.22 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sharks | 47c | 53,093$24,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,703.72 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 49c | 47,831$23,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,574.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Oilers | 49c | 43,898$21,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,216.3 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oilers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Oilers | 49c | 38,999$19,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,791.89 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 49c | 35,168$17,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,847.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sharks | 24c | 31,468$7,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,687 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Oilers | 50c | 31,000$15,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,350 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks | 40c | 29,700$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,009.5 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Sharks | 46c | 29,388$13,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,518.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Oilers | 52c | 28,816$14,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,836.21 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 47c | 24,500$11,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,515 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 7c | 23,618$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.48 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Oilers | 49c | 21,772$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,103.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Oilers | 66c | 21,164$13,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Oilers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Oilers | 49c | 19,173$9,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.02 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 51c | 19,070$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,345.62 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Sharks | 51c | 17,914$9,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,220.13 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Sharks | 51c | 17,777$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.26 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Sharks | 51c | 17,760$9,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,079.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 52c | 15,500$8,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,450 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Oilers | 50c | 15,150$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,575 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers | 52c | 14,896$7,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,144.93 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Oilers | 51c | 14,159$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Oilers | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Oilers | 73c | 13,400$9,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ede7backed Sharks | 0c | 13,080$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 52c | 12,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 49c | 11,735$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.66 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 49c | 10,383$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.57 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Oilers | 51c | 10,205$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 50c | 10,136$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Oilers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Oilers | 50c | 9,991$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Oilers | 53c | 9,905$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Sharks | 50c | 9,902$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Sharks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 20c | 8,447$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.75 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Oilers | 51c | 8,321$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Sharks | 47c | 8,005$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Oilers | 49c | 7,054$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.34 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Sharks | 5c | 7,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Sharks | 15c | 6,820$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.42 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers | 49c | 5,850$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.5 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Oilers | 70c | 5,547$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.3 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Oilers | 49c | 5,045$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.9 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sharks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Oilers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Sharks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sharks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.92 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Oilers | 52c | 4,910$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sharks | 6c | 4,836$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.83 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Oilers | 53c | 4,807$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Sharks | 17c | 4,702$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.87 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sharks | 14c | 4,660$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.98 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Sharks | 52c | 4,590$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.8 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Sharks | 5c | 4,579$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.09 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sharks | 5c | 4,561$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 49c | 4,521$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sharks | 12c | 4,510$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.31 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks | 49c | 4,282$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Sharks | 51c | 4,271$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.87 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Oilers | 53c | 4,226$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.27 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sharks | 4c | 4,212$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sharks | 16c | 4,191$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.86 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 46c | 4,144$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.02 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 3c | 4,014$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Oilers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Oilers | 50c | 3,963$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.01 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oilers | 49c | 3,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.96 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4b24backed Sharks | 1c | 3,192$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Sharks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sharks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 25c | 2,907$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sharks | 6c | 2,871$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Sharks | 18c | 2,677$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.35 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sharks | 1c | 2,553$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Oilers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sharks | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Oilers | 54c | 2,302$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.92 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 50c | 2,297$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.6 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Sharks | 4c | 2,227$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…86c0backed Oilers | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Oilers | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Sharks | 25c | 2,124$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Oilers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Sharks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sharks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Oilers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Sharksthis page
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.