TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under45c10,306$4,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.772334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Under50c6,977$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9829146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c4,644$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Over55c4,355$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9625552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,415$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.331,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over54c2,762$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.6727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over55c2,265$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.114553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under45c2,009$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0520756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9204346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under47c1,833$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.515541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over53c1,542$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.544454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c1,384$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.452,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over56c1,357$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.459457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c1,269$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.1989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over53c1,222$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under46c1,071$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2310240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,038$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4607354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under47c797.87$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37510663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over65c632.02$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.91,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over53c598.8$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.422,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c571$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over55c545$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2553849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over74c427$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.589431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked Over50c425.17$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under47c407$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.297853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0633450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0618853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0618452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0619150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0615554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0619759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over55c406.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.067557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…0236backed Under47c389$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.647357.5%42 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c353.6$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.052,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c333$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5133950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over52c310.14$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.65844.8%26 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c271.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa260…3844backed Over55c265.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.524442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over53c190.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9511547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over54c189.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3962447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.369849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under22c186.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8219657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8215051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4242948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under28c177$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.769231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over65c168$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4542254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Under47c166.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Over53c142$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7419050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over55c135$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.759856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c130.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over55c130.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5714650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over55c125.89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6518453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under47c119.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3311050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0533745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5564…b806backed Under48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.729347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over54c104$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8410450%52 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under46c101.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7414153.9%76 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5226551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5921155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under45c96.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.478552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456850%34 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9116054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9119153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9116454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under16c90.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0525345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.37955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Under47c89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.832352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Under46c85.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d0…bd0fbacked Over50c85.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under48c83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.849047.8%43 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under42c82.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.538349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Over52c80.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.871656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under37c80.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7260449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over50c75.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c73.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Under49c69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.742142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6412551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.968548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6415248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.