NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46bbabf4b6a5eea4dd09b0b7b32336b6df5d5592e43a2c260d6b60a9545149b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 45c | 10,306$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Under | 50c | 6,977$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 4,644$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.89 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Over | 55c | 4,355$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.96 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 3,415$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.33 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 54c | 2,762$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.67 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 55c | 2,265$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.1 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 45c | 2,009$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.05 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 47c | 1,833$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.51 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 53c | 1,542$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.54 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,384$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.45 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 56c | 1,357$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.45 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 1,269$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.19 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.32 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 46c | 1,071$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.23 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,038$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 797.87$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 65c | 632.02$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 598.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.42 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 571$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 74c | 427$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…5d8bbacked Over | 50c | 425.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 47c | 407$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 55c | 406.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed Under | 47c | 389$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 353.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 52c | 310.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.87 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 271.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Over | 55c | 265.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 53c | 190.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 47c | 188$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 186.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 28c | 177$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 65c | 168$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 47c | 166.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 130.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 55c | 130.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 55c | 125.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 47c | 119.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 115$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…b806backed Under | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 46c | 101.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 45c | 96.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 16c | 90.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Under | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Under | 46c | 85.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d0…bd0fbacked Over | 50c | 85.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 42c | 82.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Over | 52c | 80.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 37c | 80.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 50c | 75.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 73.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. SharksOilers won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.