TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Oilers31c71,663$22,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,230.9448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sharks69c49,974$34,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,482.240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sharks56c25,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.9941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Sharks68c15,228$10,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,35551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Oilers44c11,779$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,625.3789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Oilers44c5,187$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.0242254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Sharks2c3,999$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers44c3,032$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.381,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oilers66c2,811$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.0361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Sharks68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3604454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Oilers43c1,986$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.0735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oilers30c1,240$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.22,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Sharks69c1,126$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Sharks68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Sharks68c1,010$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7631148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks68c1,005$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.561,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers45c941.82$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.021,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Sharks68c875.26$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.1810240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Oilers30c749.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oilers32c690.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Sharks69c572.16$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7920756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sharks68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Sharks37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18532451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers55c476.56$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.343,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Oilers63c475.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Oilers31c369.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee1…c8aabacked Oilers32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.833542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks70c290.07$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Sharks70c260.23$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.164667.4%31 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Oilers31c224.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2431753.3%169 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Sharks60c160.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oilers30c159.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.777450%37 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Sharks70c142.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Sharks70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.219657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Sharks70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.215051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Sharks70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Oilers32c126.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Sharks58c126.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.114141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Sharks68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6897955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Oilers48c98.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.23887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Sharks76c91.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.221,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Sharks71c75.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5212152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sharks70c75.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Sharks68c75.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.518453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Oilers51c70.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9138447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Sharks70c70.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.119153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Sharks70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.116054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Sharks70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.14456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Oilers46c62.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1151343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Oilers25c57.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.078349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Oilers55c51.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.988548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Sharks69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.511258%65 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Oilers31c46.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0119141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Oilers37c45.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0425345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Sharks70c45.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9817343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers49c45.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sharks42c42.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Sharks70c42.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4613855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sharks68c41.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Oilers64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Sharks58c36.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Sharks70c35.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5514052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Sharks70c35.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Sharks71c34.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5638551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Sharks67c32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4412146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Sharks56c30.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.825954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9986…6d93backed Sharks70c30.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Oilers50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8613552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sharks38c29.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1147024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Sharks69c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…f42bbacked Sharks70c28.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Oilers46c28.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854e…5da3backed Sharks70c27.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Sharks55c26.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.199354.8%51 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Sharks69c24.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1820857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b1…4814backed Oilers48c21.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Sharks70c21.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Sharks70c21.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.734858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Sharks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks67c18.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Sharks70c18.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.771566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Sharks69c16.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.515154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…6f74backed Sharks69c14.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.312650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.