Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3da172b5876b190503f9fb7533c23b55f4bb1004f0ab0a28d01a37c4594227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 22c | 1,892$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.16 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 2c | 1,131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 30c | 864.94$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 10c | 814.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 10c | 738.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…1a68backed No | 75c | 606.19$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 56c | 505.72$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 499.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 458.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 20c | 412.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 55c | 410.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 55c | 407.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 50c | 382.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 11c | 365.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 16c | 361.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…af3bbacked Yes | 42c | 349.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 337.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 5c | 321.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 20c | 318.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 46c | 310.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…0123backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 33c | 291.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 269.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 17c | 265.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 41c | 253.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 28c | 253.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 20c | 246.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 41c | 245.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 46c | 238.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 74c | 235.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 21c | 220.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…74a8backed Yes | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…a632backed Yes | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 33c | 209.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 46c | 206.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed Yes | 33c | 188.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 24c | 185.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 56c | 171.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 48c | 170.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 50c | 167.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 76c | 164.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 157.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 156.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 143.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 77c | 142.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Yes | 18c | 142.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 10c | 141.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 28c | 134.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 47c | 133.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 51c | 133.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 132.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 19c | 130.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 122.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 59c | 121.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 51c | 117.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…4228backed Yes | 35c | 116.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 17c | 116.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…bc88backed Yes | 40c | 116.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 57c | 115.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 47c | 114.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 66c | 114.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…5a0fbacked Yes | 59c | 113.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 33c | 112.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…d5fdbacked Yes | 33c | 102.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Yes | 46c | 101.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…1231backed Yes | 40c | 100.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 13c | 99.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…e5bfbacked Yes | 49c | 97.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884f…c132backed Yes | 29c | 96.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 48c | 96.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 45c | 94.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 50c | 94.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 94.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 51c | 91.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked Yes | 20c | 90.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…b135backed Yes | 48c | 89.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed No | 75c | 88.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 49c | 87.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…0d71backed No | 74c | 84.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…0e22backed Yes | 34c | 84.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 16c | 80.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 20c | 80.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 37c | 75.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 26c | 74.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…4785backed Yes | 43c | 74.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes | 43c | 73.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 56c | 73.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked Yes | 38c | 73.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…b2adbacked Yes | 50c | 72.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed93…037cbacked Yes | 24c | 71.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 35c | 70.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…760cbacked Yes | 43c | 69.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 38c | 69.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.