Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f660ce8706c4c8dadfaaea7ce72416a78a834e21853e9d25e19af82e885f714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd91c…4507backed Yes | 0c | 36,004$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,797$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,933$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa2…931bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,813$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…4228backed Yes | 11c | 960.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 19c | 917.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed Yes | 9c | 566.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…2116backed Yes | 7c | 495.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 21c | 382.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 7c | 367.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 367.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 8c | 357.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 6c | 348.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…4cfcbacked Yes | 4c | 348.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 43 | 4.7%2 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 19c | 291.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 34c | 288.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 286.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Yes | 6c | 281.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 259.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…ceecbacked Yes | 14c | 253.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 186 | 15.6%29 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 31c | 252.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 6c | 248.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 234.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked No | 63c | 207.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 42c | 201.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 49c | 193.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 17c | 169.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 40c | 116.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…501ebacked Yes | 19c | 115.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 69c | 110.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…722ebacked Yes | 20c | 106.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…de46backed Yes | 34c | 90.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 89.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 48c | 89.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 16c | 88.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 28c | 81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 32c | 77.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 33c | 71.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 64.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 18c | 64.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 52c | 62.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 16c | 61.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…9a04backed Yes | 33c | 57.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 18c | 56.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 74c | 53.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 52.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Yes | 35c | 51.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 30c | 47.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 46.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked Yes | 25c | 46.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…6223backed Yes | 32c | 45.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…4785backed Yes | 41c | 44.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 63c | 44.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 25c | 44.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…760cbacked Yes | 39c | 43.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c0cbbacked Yes | 34c | 41.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 27c | 39.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…222fbacked Yes | 33c | 37.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeac…e20bbacked Yes | 40c | 37.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 32c | 33.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…9bf5backed Yes | 37c | 33.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 34c | 31.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 35c | 30.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 35c | 30.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 35c | 30.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 35c | 29.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 60c | 28.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 68c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 68c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…e647backed No | 60c | 22.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…81f4backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 52c | 20.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 74c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b421backed No | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 79c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…4f55backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 64c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 68c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 79c | 14.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…aba2backed No | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.