Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ec93e2648e4ef7b23e05515dab89f2175192535e63368183965fe0381abc06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5331…69d8backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 75c | 1,630$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.58 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…0d71backed No | 4c | 1,260$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 14c | 1,244$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked No | 16c | 1,131$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 759.98$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.1 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 56c | 748.49$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 9c | 595.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 4c | 540.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 515.01$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 40c | 509.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 497.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 22c | 453.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.18 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 69c | 351.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 74c | 327.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 311.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed Yes | 65c | 298.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed No | 16c | 286.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed No | 48c | 285.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 65c | 264.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…94cbbacked Yes | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 14c | 243$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 66c | 242.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 68c | 234.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 63c | 234.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…b09bbacked No | 29c | 232.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 66c | 206.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 198.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 17c | 197.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 51c | 182.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 61c | 177.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Yes | 72c | 175.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…db02backed No | 53c | 175.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 30c | 172.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 53c | 162.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 44c | 159.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…1250backed Yes | 70c | 158.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 36c | 157.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 18c | 157$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…5a0fbacked Yes | 37c | 145.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 27c | 142.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 72c | 138.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked No | 20c | 129.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…d5fdbacked Yes | 60c | 128.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 14c | 128.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…13c1backed Yes | 61c | 127.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…5926backed Yes | 37c | 126.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…f30bbacked Yes | 63c | 125.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed No | 79c | 123.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 16c | 123.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…bad2backed No | 44c | 122.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 21c | 119.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1d71backed No | 19c | 118.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 113$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 18c | 102.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…1231backed Yes | 49c | 102.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked Yes | 59c | 99.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 29c | 98.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 45c | 97.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 38c | 97.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 14c | 96.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 50c | 95.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…9939backed No | 34c | 95.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 94.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…05a3backed No | 71c | 92.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…e5bfbacked Yes | 73c | 91.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…1b6ebacked No | 55c | 90.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 76c | 90.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 38c | 89.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 87.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 81.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…c45ebacked Yes | 13c | 81.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 16c | 80.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 25c | 79.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…bc88backed Yes | 62c | 75.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 38c | 74.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 33c | 72.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 72.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 74c | 71.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…af44backed Yes | 56c | 70.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 18c | 69.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 65c | 68.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 60c | 67.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c0cbbacked Yes | 58c | 65.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 45c | 65.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 38c | 65.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 16c | 63.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 18c | 61.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…4316backed Yes | 39c | 61.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 67c | 60.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 57c | 59.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3f60backed Yes | 51c | 56.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…cababacked No | 50c | 53.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.