TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb62…d14f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST7448.6%36 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.15
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+57.4%+$105.7
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$211.75
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+109.8%+$15.7
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$156.1
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.1
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$109.48
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56.2
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$62.9
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35.6
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.2
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$228.5
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+278.4%+$51.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$21.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$13.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$46.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$90
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$32.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+372.4%+$47.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$25.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$42.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+204.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$67.27
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$38.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$138
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.