Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9191b4797b75f5eda1411fdaf90aff34cf6cf6a9e9a5ea7613fe9045cb23d81d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 60,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 62c | 45,481$28,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,282.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 38c | 26,316$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 62c | 23,000$14,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,740 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 73c | 14,024$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.4 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 10,141$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 6,776$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.51 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 4,085$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.38 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 3,617$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.41 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 36c | 2,401$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.74 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 65c | 2,050$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 2,001$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.84 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,940$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 61c | 1,925$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.48 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 64c | 1,739$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked No | 63c | 1,598$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Yes | 37c | 1,596$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 62c | 1,495$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.1 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 977.79$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.78 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 27c | 908.02$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 905.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 37c | 869.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 863.64$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 782.33$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.31 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Yes | 39c | 770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 65c | 664$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 638.75$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 575.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 563$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 65c | 546.15$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 37c | 527.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 498.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 38c | 363.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Yes | 39c | 348.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 5c | 310.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 281$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 39c | 273.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 59c | 270$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 64c | 220.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 69c | 216.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 70c | 203.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1202…6fe7backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked No | 71c | 198$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 39c | 197.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 61c | 186.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 64c | 161.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 64c | 156.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 28c | 148.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Yes | 22c | 141.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Yes | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 38c | 132.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed No | 65c | 126.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 63c | 126.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 36c | 123.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 61c | 117.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 64c | 109.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 36c | 95.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…7c59backed No | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
- Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.